Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 89.684868 99.984915 110.497213 121.998399 134.197659 146.723241 160.527428
2025-02-02 75.533203 90.599495 106.621368 124.806641 144.757544 165.870710 189.795302
2025-02-09 64.615762 82.089860 101.266810 123.627834 148.750474 175.889358 207.211548
2025-02-16 56.137094 75.209635 96.745986 122.456308 151.929809 184.313793 222.246715
2025-02-23 50.474961 70.918361 94.587975 123.417056 157.022826 194.459309 238.830437
2025-03-02 45.146358 66.499676 91.834019 123.282566 160.513834 202.511689 252.816970
2025-03-09 41.009417 63.163253 90.050297 124.004566 164.757054 211.230638 267.403246
2025-03-16 36.433252 58.889571 86.808483 122.698316 166.376917 216.732209 278.142134
2025-03-23 33.771553 56.880547 86.197335 124.436352 171.496445 226.219343 293.423379
2025-03-30 31.536258 55.256215 85.928602 126.477991 176.891484 235.969826 308.975672
2025-04-06 28.382454 52.129922 83.534269 125.697601 178.722879 241.401148 319.389914
2025-04-13 24.839076 48.175426 79.830895 123.063176 178.114391 243.792235 326.110849
2025-04-20 23.951663 48.047929 81.244491 127.045182 185.795141 256.263239 344.957102
2025-04-27 22.713672 47.305060 81.764233 129.831433 191.971213 266.929565 361.691543
2025-05-04 20.274667 44.534834 79.346123 128.638427 193.035066 271.306442 370.835624
2025-05-11 18.059644 41.926450 77.010900 127.435991 193.992610 275.483618 379.687667
2025-05-18 16.679254 40.553814 76.351733 128.420583 197.706677 283.026557 392.601043
2025-05-25 15.103206 38.718045 74.923786 128.282752 199.913803 288.666088 403.178431
2025-06-01 13.887375 37.395405 74.176255 129.022370 203.223077 295.654440 415.393970
2025-06-08 12.262454 35.189612 71.996242 127.684232 203.741210 299.103003 423.237164
2025-06-15 11.495313 34.490000 72.061793 129.464665 208.357612 307.698717 437.421582
2025-06-22 10.850340 33.964981 72.362127 131.555808 213.377588 316.806586 452.252894
2025-06-29 9.646617 32.227566 70.682484 130.756534 214.491893 320.934777 460.900659